Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.7% | 19.3% | -7.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -20 (48-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Clark | 37 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| T. Williams | 36 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Smith | 33 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| E. Sosa | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. McGee | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| T. Farley | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Caracter | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| W. Scott | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Terry | 33 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| W. Adams | 29 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| M. Shaw | 28 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Darger | 28 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 26 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Bailey | 23 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Roberson | 9 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Wallace | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter