Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.4% | 87.6% | +10.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kent | 38 | 7-19 | 5-12 | 5-7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 12 | - |
| J. Amos | 35 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 6-9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| R. Johnson | 32 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| J. Young | 30 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Bingham | 25 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Anyijong | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Lo | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Byrd | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts | 37 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Johnson | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Little | 28 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| C. Wright | 25 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 25 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Cordeiro | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Sandoval | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Binnie | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Thomas | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Warren | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Searcy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter