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2007-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 84.8% 15.2% -
Bradley-Terry 53.2% 46.8% -
Margin 60.0% 40.0% -2.2 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 25.6% 74.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Butler Bulldogs +14 (79-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Udoh 32 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 5 0 6 8 -
R. Coleman 30 4-6 3-4 1-2 6 1 1 0 0 12 14 -
M. Harris 26 3-10 1-4 5-6 4 5 2 1 5 12 9 -
D. Sims 24 5-7 2-4 2-3 3 1 1 0 1 14 11 -
K. Grady 22 1-6 1-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 5 2 -
A. Wright 16 0-1 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 0 2 1 4 -
K. Morris 14 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Shepherd 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
C.J. Lee 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
J. Smith 9 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
Z. Gibson 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Green 37 5-11 2-2 2-3 5 8 0 0 1 14 15 -
D. Streicher 35 1-5 1-4 2-2 2 3 1 0 0 5 6 -
A.J. Graves 33 5-10 5-10 2-2 0 2 1 0 2 17 8 -
M. Howard 29 4-9 0-0 4-6 12 2 1 0 1 12 17 -
J. Betko 26 2-7 2-4 2-2 3 3 0 0 1 8 6 -
P. Campbell 21 6-11 6-11 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 18 8 -
Z. Hahn 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
S. Vanzant 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
E. Engelmann 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter