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2007-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Nicholls Colonels UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 17.9% 82.1% -
Bradley-Terry 29.6% 70.4% -
Margin 15.1% 84.9% +9.5 (7.5 off)
Efficiency 86.3% 13.7% -

Actual: UC Davis Aggies +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nicholls Colonels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Czepil 33 5-11 2-8 3-3 5 3 1 1 3 15 11 -
D. Friend 26 3-6 2-3 1-1 7 1 1 0 3 9 9 -
R. Bathie 24 3-9 2-6 6-6 3 3 1 0 3 14 9 -
A. Bose 23 1-5 1-4 2-2 7 0 1 0 4 5 4 -
J. Payne 23 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 1 1 1 2 -
G. Verner 19 4-11 4-8 0-3 2 2 1 0 0 12 6 -
K. Carter 15 0-0 0-0 2-4 1 3 3 0 1 2 8 -
A. Gray 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
C. Paige 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
B. Lewis 6 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
M. Boyce 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
R. Shanks 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Payne 34 2-3 0-0 4-4 9 3 2 0 5 8 14 -
V. Oliver 33 7-17 1-5 4-6 5 0 1 0 5 19 3 -
S. Hanson 31 3-8 1-3 6-6 4 3 1 0 0 13 13 -
K. Brucculeri 29 1-4 1-4 2-2 4 0 0 1 1 5 5 -
R. Silva 27 5-7 4-6 2-3 2 3 3 0 5 16 12 -
D. Carter 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Lopez-Low 10 0-1 0-1 4-7 1 0 0 3 1 4 6 -
N. Clark 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
C. Portz 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
D. Calegari 6 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
K. Toth 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter