Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers +13 (75-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. McGhee | 34 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| C. Woods | 31 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Thomas | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Davis | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Eller | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Leath | 21 | 6-14 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 2 | - |
| R. Adams | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Williams | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Young | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Ferguson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Troyer | 37 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Brown | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| S. Johnson | 31 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Ford | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| M. Nunnally | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| B. LeDuc | 21 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| M. Kirby | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Morgan | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Neimeyer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Doran | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Smith | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Willard | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter