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2007-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 6.8% 93.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.0% 89.0% - โœ“
Margin 2.0% 98.0% +21.4 โœ“ (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 27.7% 72.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 14.0% 86.0% - โœ“

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +29 (89-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Luettgerodt 37 6-13 0-2 2-2 4 4 2 0 2 14 9 -
J. Dillinger 35 6-12 2-6 1-1 5 4 2 0 1 15 13 -
B. Nash 29 4-11 1-6 7-7 1 1 0 0 2 16 5 -
B. Amis 26 4-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
Stephen Verwers 21 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
P.J. Owsley 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Nitoto 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
A. Mayen 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
P. Campbell 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 1 3 -
A. Veit 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Prentice 28 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 4 3 0 0 2 7 -
D. Faris 28 8-10 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 16 12 -
J.R. Giddens 27 6-13 2-4 1-2 5 4 2 2 3 15 12 -
C. Toppert 23 8-10 4-6 0-2 4 3 0 0 0 20 17 -
J. Smith 21 5-8 2-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 12 9 -
R. Martinez 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Gary 17 5-6 3-4 2-4 1 1 0 0 1 15 10 -
J. Harris 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
M. Pegues 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
J. Wills 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 5 -

* = starter