🐻⬇️🏀

Marquette Golden Eagles 73
@
Duke Blue Devils 77
2007-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Marquette Golden Eagles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 8.4% 91.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 21.7% 78.3% - ✓
Margin 11.0% 89.0% +11.5 ✓ (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - ✓
Efficiency 33.1% 66.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 52.5% 47.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 52.6% 47.4% - ✗

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +4 (77-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Matthews 34 4-9 1-2 3-3 3 2 2 1 2 12 9 -
J. McNeal 30 4-7 0-2 3-4 3 4 1 0 3 11 9 -
O. Barro 28 2-6 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 2 0 5 7 -
D. James 27 4-16 0-3 4-6 6 3 1 0 2 12 4 -
D. Cubillan 21 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 6 6 -
L. Hayward 20 5-7 1-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 2 14 8 -
D. Fitzgerald 15 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
M. Acker 14 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 5 6 -
D. Burke 11 1-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler 37 7-11 3-5 8-8 7 1 0 0 3 25 19 -
D. Nelson 35 6-11 0-1 4-8 7 4 1 0 3 16 14 -
G. Paulus 30 3-6 3-6 0-1 2 3 0 0 3 9 5 -
L. Thomas 30 4-8 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 1 0 10 8 -
J. Scheyer 24 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 2 2 -
G. Henderson 23 2-7 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 1 2 7 4 -
N. Smith 14 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
B. Zoubek 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
T. King 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter