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2007-11-21

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 44.9% 55.1% -
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% -
Margin 33.4% 66.6% +3.8 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% -
Efficiency 15.4% 84.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.6% 84.4% -
Log Adjusted 15.6% 84.4% -

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +3 (87-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thornton 40 7-19 4-12 0-0 12 1 1 0 5 18 8 -
G. Temple 40 2-4 1-2 6-6 5 7 1 1 4 11 17 -
A. Randolph 34 8-14 0-2 5-6 7 1 1 2 0 21 18 -
B. Spencer 34 5-9 4-8 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 14 8 -
T. Martin 27 1-8 1-7 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 3 -3 -
A. Farrer 22 1-2 1-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 4 4 -
C. Johnson 21 4-5 1-1 2-2 5 1 1 2 5 11 10 -
G. Green 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shipp 39 1-5 1-4 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
J. Harden 37 6-16 0-3 11-14 6 3 2 2 1 23 19 -
J. Ayres 34 11-15 0-0 3-5 10 1 1 1 3 25 20 -
D. Glasser 33 2-3 0-1 3-4 1 3 2 0 2 7 8 -
T. Abbott 31 2-9 1-6 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 5 5 -
C. Polk 18 4-7 3-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 11 5 -
J. McMillan 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 5 0 0 2 0 2 -
A. Atuahene 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 4 -
E. Boateng 10 4-5 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 1 2 9 6 -

* = starter