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2007-11-20

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% +13.3 โœ“ (8.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 11.6% 88.4% - โœ“
Margin 9.6% 90.4% +12.4 โœ“ (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.5% 90.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.6% 90.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.8% 74.2% - โœ“

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +5 (74-69). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dior Lowhorn * 40 7-18 0-2 7-9 8 0 0 0 2 21 9 -
Danny Cavic * 35 5-10 3-6 0-1 9 0 1 1 3 13 11 -
Manny Quezada * 28 3-9 0-5 0-0 2 5 1 0 8 6 -3 -
Hyman Taylor * 25 2-2 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 0 2 6 6 -
Myron Strong 26 6-13 1-4 1-1 0 3 3 0 3 14 4 -
Dean Hadley 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 4 2 -1 -
James Morgan 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 0 5 -
Pierce Brooks 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Christian Hernandez 5 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Harris * 32 7-12 4-7 9-11 2 1 0 0 7 27 11 -
Chris Devine * 32 6-10 1-1 5-6 4 3 2 0 5 18 12 -
Justin Joyner * 31 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 4 0 1 -
James Powell * 23 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 5 -2 -
Ivan Elliott * 21 3-7 1-3 1-2 6 2 0 1 0 8 10 -
Nedim Pajevic 22 3-5 0-0 4-6 10 2 0 0 0 10 17 -
D.J. Posley 21 3-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 3 6 2 -
Paul Roemer 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 2 1 0 0 5 -
Beau Gibb 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter