Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.9% | 22.1% | -6.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -13 (66-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Scheyer | 32 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| G. Paulus | 31 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Nelson | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| G. Henderson | 26 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - |
| K. Singler | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| L. Thomas | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| N. Smith | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. King | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Frazier | 36 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | - |
| B. Randle | 32 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| C. Brock | 23 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| R. Alexander | 21 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| S. Pruitt | 21 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. McCamey | 20 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4 | - |
| T. Meacham | 18 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Davis | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Jordan | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Holdren | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter