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UMBC Retrievers 84
@
Lafayette Leopards 87
2007-11-20

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers Lafayette Leopards Spread Result
Elo 47.4% 52.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% - ✓
Margin 27.5% 72.5% +5.3 ✓ (2.3 off)

Actual: Lafayette Leopards +3 (87-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Proctor 42 6-13 0-0 1-2 9 2 2 0 2 13 11 -
R. Barbosa 42 10-18 4-9 2-2 7 2 1 0 3 26 15 -
B. Hodges 34 3-13 2-9 4-6 2 2 0 1 2 12 2 -
J. Greene 31 2-6 2-6 1-2 1 3 0 0 1 7 4 -
C. Johnson 30 10-16 0-0 2-4 9 1 0 2 1 22 17 -
J. Fry 30 1-6 0-1 2-2 5 1 1 2 2 4 5 -
M. Spadafora 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
F. McKnight 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Massey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gruner 34 2-7 2-3 4-4 1 0 2 0 1 10 5 -
M. Betley 33 4-9 3-6 2-2 11 2 0 0 0 13 17 -
A. Brown 27 4-10 1-4 6-6 3 0 0 0 4 15 4 -
P. Cummins 26 3-8 2-7 1-1 2 2 0 0 0 9 5 -
B. Abdullah 22 0-5 0-3 3-4 6 2 0 1 2 3 5 -
J. Kari 18 2-6 1-1 6-8 1 1 0 0 3 11 4 -
E. Schmidt 17 6-7 0-0 2-6 4 1 0 0 1 14 11 -
J. Mintz 17 0-1 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 0 0 2 10 -
M. Koltun 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
T. Detmer 9 1-2 0-0 1-3 1 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
D. Visockas 8 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
D. Benbow 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter