Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | +2.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -7 (66-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Clark | 33 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | - |
| T. Shelton | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| C. Thomas | 27 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| D. Whiten | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| L. Keeler | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Hanson | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Vance | 17 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| S. Lewis | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Leavitt | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Manley | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Anderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Higgins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Payne | 40 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 11-17 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 26 | - |
| D. Marek | 40 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Sorensen | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| N. Adepoju | 27 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | - |
| N. Livi | 21 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| L. Higbee | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O. Griego | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| T. Quinney | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Josserand | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Clifford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Roberts | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Crum | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Baker | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter