Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -5 (63-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Westbrook | 40 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. Shipp | 36 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| L. Mbah a Moute | 34 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Love | 29 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 15 | - |
| A. Aboya | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| L. Mata-Real | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Dragovic | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Stanback | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Gray | 28 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Neitzel | 25 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| K. Lucas | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| R. Morgan | 21 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Summers | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| G. Suton | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| T. Walton | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Allen | 17 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Naymick | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| I. Ibok | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Herzog | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter