Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona State Sun Devils | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✓ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +23 (77-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ayres | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Abbott | 24 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Harden | 22 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| C. Polk | 22 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Shipp | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J. McMillan | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Atuahene | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Glasser | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| E. Boateng | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Woods | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Kuksiks | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Alexander | 27 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| B. Randle | 27 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| S. Pruitt | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| C. Frazier | 24 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. McCamey | 20 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Brock | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Meacham | 16 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Jordan | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Holdren | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Cole | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Semrau | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Hicks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter