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2007-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 2.9% 97.1% -
Bradley-Terry 9.4% 90.6% -
Margin 3.2% 96.8% +18.8 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 23.1% 76.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +22 (83-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Gunn 29 6-9 3-4 1-1 1 2 0 0 5 16 5 -
N. Savage 27 3-7 3-5 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 9 7 -
Z. Finley 27 3-10 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 3 8 -2 -
K. Koncz 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
K. Steuerer 20 2-4 0-1 3-4 2 4 1 0 1 7 9 -
M. Sargeant 17 4-4 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 3 9 2 -
M. Schroeder 17 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
N. Lake 15 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
K. Maddox 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 1 0 2 -
A. Okafor 11 3-4 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 2 3 8 5 -
B. Foley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Briggs 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Paulus 27 3-8 1-5 0-0 1 4 3 0 2 7 5 -
K. Singler 27 9-14 2-3 1-1 12 0 0 0 3 21 16 -
D. Nelson 25 3-9 0-1 1-2 6 3 2 0 1 7 8 -
J. Scheyer 23 3-7 1-2 3-4 4 2 0 1 0 10 10 -
G. Henderson 20 6-8 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 0 1 12 10 -
B. Zoubek 17 4-7 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 2 2 9 8 -
T. King 16 3-9 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 7 0 -
L. Thomas 15 2-3 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
N. Smith 12 1-6 0-1 0-0 1 3 2 0 0 2 2 -
M. Pocius 10 0-3 0-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
D. McClure 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter