Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | -2.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers -3 (83-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Suton | 34 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| K. Lucas | 32 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Neitzel | 28 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| T. Walton | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| R. Morgan | 20 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| M. Gray | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Naymick | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Allen | 13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| D. Summers | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hannah | 35 | 7-16 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| D. Carroll | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Lawrence | 31 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Horton | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Brown | 25 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J.T. Tiller | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| L. Lyons | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Butterfield | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| V. Volkus | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter