Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -10 (58-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brycen Long | 37 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| R. Epps | 33 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| L. Posey | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| R. Guignard | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Griffin | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| A. Vereen | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Moffitt | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Hunter | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Parker | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Smith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Patterson | 34 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Smith | 29 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Eggins | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Akins | 22 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Moore | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| L. Jackson | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Fowler | 17 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| S. Edwards | 15 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| R. Moss | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Mouzy | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Bails | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter