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2007-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 82.6% 17.4% -
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% -
Margin 54.2% 45.8% -0.9 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% -
Efficiency 19.5% 80.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% -
Log Adjusted 37.7% 62.3% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -4 (64-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jerrells 30 3-8 2-5 9-10 7 2 1 1 4 17 16 -
D. Thiam 27 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
A. Bruce 27 5-12 3-6 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 14 6 -
T. Carter 24 5-11 1-4 0-1 3 2 1 0 0 11 6 -
M. Shepherd 22 0-0 0-0 0-1 3 2 0 0 1 0 4 -
L. Dunn 22 2-9 2-6 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 6 5 -
J. Lomers 18 5-8 0-0 2-5 4 1 1 1 1 12 10 -
H. Dugat 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 4 1 -
K. Rogers 13 1-3 0-0 0-1 5 1 2 1 3 2 5 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. McAlarney 39 1-11 1-4 0-1 4 3 0 0 2 3 -3 -
L. Harangody 29 9-14 0-0 4-5 8 0 1 0 4 22 13 -
R. Ayers 27 3-6 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
T. Jackson 27 2-8 0-4 2-3 2 3 3 0 0 6 6 -
R. Kurz 27 2-11 2-4 7-8 5 0 1 0 2 13 6 -
J. Peoples 20 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 2 1 0 0 2 6 -
Z. Hillesland 16 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
L. Zeller 15 2-4 1-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 -

* = starter