Model Predictions
| Model | Green Bay Phoenix | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.0% | 29.0% | -4.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -10 (68-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.