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2007-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 79.5% 20.5% -
Bradley-Terry 85.2% 14.8% -
Margin 89.4% 10.6% -11.7 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 61.0% 39.0% -
Efficiency 95.8% 4.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.9% 5.1% -
Log Adjusted 95.0% 5.0% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -24 (61-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Leunen 34 4-7 2-4 7-9 10 0 1 0 2 17 19 -
T. Porter 33 6-12 3-7 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 15 6 -
J. Catron 32 3-6 0-1 2-2 8 2 0 2 2 8 12 -
K. Brown 32 3-7 0-1 4-9 5 10 0 0 4 10 14 -
M. Hairston 29 8-13 4-6 4-4 2 1 0 1 2 24 13 -
L. Longmire 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
C. Odia 11 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 5 7 -
F. Dorsainvil 8 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 6 2 -
M. Platt 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ito 35 5-15 1-6 2-3 2 4 1 0 3 13 2 -
N. Raivio 30 4-10 1-6 2-4 3 0 2 0 1 11 5 -
L. Sikma 30 1-5 0-3 1-3 10 4 3 2 3 3 14 -
R. Smeulders 28 6-12 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 12 4 -
S. Watson 28 4-8 0-1 4-6 7 2 1 0 6 12 8 -
K. Knutson 21 2-3 0-0 1-3 3 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
J. Stohl 11 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
W. Thompson 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
E. Niedermeyer 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Hannibal 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter