Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | +4.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves -8 (89-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Haynes | 28 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -1 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 27 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| D. Tresvant | 26 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 8 | - |
| J. Heard | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 22 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Miller | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| T. Townsend | 20 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| P. Wayne | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| R. Mels | 9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Colston | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thomas | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 17 | - |
| J. Walberg | 27 | 1-11 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Johnson | 23 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. Shelley | 23 | 12-17 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 24 | - |
| R. Holmes | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Thompson | 19 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Hornbuckle | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Tucker | 15 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -1 | - |
| T. Carr | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Reed | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| G. Clardy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Tucker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter