Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.6% | 29.4% | -4.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +1 (66-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.