Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.6% | 34.4% | -3.6 | ✗ (14.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +11 (67-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts | 31 | 9-18 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 14 | - |
| M. Johnson | 31 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| C. Little | 26 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Binnie | 23 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| C. Wright | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| T. Cordeiro | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| L. Warren | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Sandoval | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Thomas | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Thomas | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 28 | - |
| J. Carter | 33 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 11 | - |
| F. Campbell | 33 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| J. Vaughan | 28 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Birdsong | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Smith | 17 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | - |
| V. Moldoveanu | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Fleming | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Long | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Threatt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Tate | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter