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2007-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Texas State Bobcats Jacksonville State Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 46.5% 53.5% -
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% -
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 (4.3 off)

Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks -3 (83-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jefferson 29 2-5 0-2 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 4 6 -
B. Bush 27 0-6 0-3 7-9 3 2 0 0 6 7 0 -
B. Benson 26 7-12 3-6 4-4 3 2 0 0 1 21 13 -
B. Thomas 26 3-7 0-0 0-3 8 0 3 0 1 6 9 -
B. Holder 20 3-5 1-3 2-2 6 2 1 0 1 9 12 -
T. Gough 20 3-13 0-0 3-5 11 0 1 0 0 9 8 -
C. Agwumaro 15 4-6 0-0 4-5 2 1 0 0 1 12 8 -
M. Fullenwider 11 4-8 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 9 -3 -
R. White 11 3-8 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 6 1 -
C. Johnson 6 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
D. Moseley 5 0-0 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
G. Taylor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Sloan 2 0-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Ginn 31 3-10 1-6 6-7 2 4 1 0 4 13 6 -
D. Bray 28 1-4 0-2 4-5 4 6 2 0 3 6 11 -
J. Toles 24 3-7 1-1 2-5 3 4 2 0 3 9 8 -
E. Staten 22 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 5 -1 -
J.J. Wesley 20 2-8 1-6 2-2 2 2 2 0 0 7 5 -
J.R. Weathers 19 5-8 0-0 3-4 11 0 0 2 1 13 17 -
J. Bynum 19 3-9 2-7 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 9 1 -
N. Murphy 15 5-6 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 3 10 6 -
A. Mbodji 14 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 3 4 4 -
D. Brown 8 3-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 2 7 3 -

* = starter