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2007-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies UC Irvine Anteaters Spread Result
Elo 82.0% 18.0% -
Bradley-Terry 64.3% 35.7% -
Margin 64.4% 35.6% -3.3 (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% -
Log Adjusted 49.6% 50.4% -

Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +19 (70-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Carroll 35 7-14 4-7 3-4 6 1 0 0 0 21 14 -
P. Williams 26 1-7 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 -2 -
S. DuCharme 26 3-6 0-0 3-4 11 0 0 1 2 9 13 -
K. Clark 25 1-3 0-0 1-1 2 4 2 0 4 3 4 -
T. Wesley 20 1-1 0-0 2-4 2 2 0 2 3 4 6 -
G. Wilkinson 19 3-8 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 7 1 -
D. Stephens 16 0-4 0-3 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 2 -3 -
T. Newbold 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
B. Bell 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Spraggins 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
M. Niang 4 0-1 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Formisano 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bland 34 5-6 1-1 4-4 8 0 5 0 1 15 21 -
A. Rodenberg 28 4-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 8 4 -
M. Hunter 27 2-9 1-7 0-0 3 6 3 0 1 5 7 -
P. Sanders 23 1-7 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 2 3 2 -1 -
B. Lauer 20 5-9 4-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 14 10 -
C. DeCasas 19 3-7 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
D. Fells 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 1 4 4 5 -
T. Harris 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
C. Awaji 13 3-7 2-4 6-6 4 1 2 0 1 14 13 -
M. Ballard 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. McIntosh 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Rembert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter