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2007-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte 49ers UIC Flames Spread Result
Elo 57.1% 42.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.9% 47.1% - โœ“
Margin 47.4% 52.6% +0.6 โœ— (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 64.7% 35.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 65.0% 35.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.8% 50.2% - โœ—

Actual: UIC Flames -1 (63-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Goldwire 37 4-12 3-9 3-5 2 4 1 0 3 14 6 -
A. Wilderness 29 2-6 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 2 5 2 -
L. Mack 24 5-12 3-5 1-2 4 1 1 0 5 14 3 -
I. Andersen 23 3-4 2-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 10 10 -
P. Jones 23 2-8 0-0 5-6 5 2 0 0 2 9 6 -
C. Coley 20 2-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 3 4 2 -
D. Harris 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
C. Dewhurst 19 1-3 0-0 6-7 5 2 0 0 0 8 12 -
G. Ngoundjo 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Phaler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UIC Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Stewart 29 4-10 2-3 1-3 3 6 2 0 5 11 7 -
J. Mayo 28 5-10 5-7 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 15 9 -
S. VanderMeer 27 2-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 5 0 4 8 -
J. Buttell 27 2-4 0-2 4-6 11 0 0 0 1 8 14 -
K. White Jr. 25 1-6 0-1 1-4 3 1 0 0 3 3 -2 -
T. Boyd 21 1-5 1-3 4-4 1 2 0 0 3 7 2 -
J. Dailey 19 4-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
R. Kreps 18 1-4 0-3 1-2 4 1 2 0 1 3 5 -
J. Ignjatovic 6 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

* = starter