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2007-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 25.2% 74.8% -
Bradley-Terry 95.5% 4.5% -
Margin 52.9% 47.1% -0.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 27.6% 72.4% -
Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% -
Log Adjusted 13.6% 86.4% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats -3 (72-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Singletary 36 6-19 1-6 11-11 4 8 1 0 5 24 13 -
M. Diane 36 3-4 3-3 0-0 1 1 0 3 3 9 7 -
L. Mikalauskas 23 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 6 9 -
A. Joseph 22 1-2 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 4 6 -
J. Tucker 21 5-7 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 12 8 -
J. Jones 21 5-8 5-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 15 5 -
C. Baker 20 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 2 5 4 -
R. Pettinella 17 0-1 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
W. Harris 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Farrakhan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McClellan 39 4-8 1-1 0-0 3 4 2 2 4 9 8 -
D. Dillon 37 1-3 1-3 2-2 3 3 2 0 2 5 8 -
J. Bayless 37 7-15 4-8 3-5 4 4 1 0 4 21 11 -
C. Budinger 31 6-14 1-2 2-2 5 5 0 0 2 15 9 -
J. Hill 29 5-7 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 0 2 14 10 -
N. Wise 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 3 2 1 3 3 5 -
B. Brielmaier 11 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
L. Lucas-Perry 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter