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2007-11-16

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 9.8% 90.2% -
Bradley-Terry 7.6% 92.4% -
Margin 2.4% 97.6% +20.4 (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 4.8% 95.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns +31 (73-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Payne 35 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 5 3 0 4 2 6 -
S. Hanson 34 4-10 2-8 2-3 4 1 0 0 2 12 5 -
V. Oliver 33 1-10 1-7 4-5 3 1 1 0 0 7 2 -
K. Brucculeri 32 2-7 2-5 3-4 4 1 0 0 2 9 5 -
D. Carter 32 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 7 -2 -
D. Calegari 11 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 5 5 -
C. Portz 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
K. Toth 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Clark 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Silva 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Boone 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Abrams 40 9-15 3-7 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 21 9 -
J. Mason 36 4-10 0-3 1-2 5 2 2 2 0 9 10 -
D.J. Augustin 34 4-7 2-2 0-0 2 11 1 0 2 10 15 -
C. Atchley 30 5-6 1-1 0-0 3 1 2 1 0 11 12 -
D. James 27 4-10 0-0 1-2 12 0 1 2 2 9 12 -
A. Wangmene 20 2-3 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 2 1 8 10 -
C. Chapman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J.D. Lewis 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
D. Pittman 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
H. Smith 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
I. Mooney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter