Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.6% | 27.4% | -5.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +2 (86-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Larry | 35 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| M. Nelson | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7-14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| A. Thomas | 32 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Greene | 31 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Bauscher | 30 | 8-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| T. Tiedeman | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Garner | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Noonan | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Cunningham | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Rouse | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Durham | 31 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| B. Howard | 26 | 9-16 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 11 | - |
| P. Friesen | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Taylor | 26 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| B. Johnson | 22 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Davis | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| A. Zamora | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Hennessy | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Mbunga | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Blackshire | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter