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2007-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 38.9% 61.1% -
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% -
Margin 24.4% 75.6% +6.2 (11.8 off)
Efficiency 90.5% 9.5% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +18 (91-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Aaron 32 5-13 1-4 0-0 4 1 2 1 3 11 3 -
C. Henry 31 6-8 2-2 0-2 4 0 2 1 1 14 12 -
J. Florence 30 3-18 1-7 2-5 3 3 0 1 4 9 -6 -
B. Corley 20 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 0 0 3 6 -
B. Mills 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 2 0 8 12 -
B. Pfohl 16 1-5 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 2 0 4 2 -
S. Dolan 16 5-8 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 1 1 11 8 -
M. Ellis 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
M. Hall 10 2-5 2-4 0-1 0 1 2 0 1 6 3 -
B. Walker 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
J. Davis 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lin 35 10-17 2-6 1-4 9 9 1 1 1 23 25 -
E. Harris 30 5-9 0-0 6-6 9 3 2 2 1 16 22 -
A. Pusar 30 5-9 0-0 0-2 6 1 1 1 4 10 6 -
D. Housman 30 7-12 1-2 4-4 2 5 3 0 4 19 13 -
P. Magnarelli 25 3-7 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 5 1 6 16 -
D. McGeary 15 3-7 2-5 0-0 0 3 2 0 0 8 6 -
A. Demuyakor 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
T.J. Carey 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
D. Miller 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Fitzgerald 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter