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2007-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 8.4% 91.6% -
Bradley-Terry 23.6% 76.4% -
Margin 8.0% 92.0% +13.4 (24.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -
Efficiency 87.0% 13.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.2% 18.8% -
Log Adjusted 81.2% 18.8% -

Actual: UConn Huskies -11 (70-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Douglas-Roberts 33 14-24 2-3 3-3 7 0 0 0 2 33 14 -
A. Anderson 32 1-8 0-3 2-4 5 3 2 0 1 4 5 -
D. Rose 29 8-17 0-1 8-10 6 0 0 0 5 24 8 -
J. Dorsey 28 2-2 0-0 0-2 12 0 1 3 3 4 15 -
R. Dozier 24 4-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 3 3 8 12 -
S. Taggart 19 1-5 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
A. Allen 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
W. Kemp 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
D. Mack 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Robinson 5 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
P. Henderson-Niles 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
H. Bailey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dyson 37 5-13 0-0 7-10 4 1 1 1 3 17 8 -
H. Thabeet 35 2-6 0-0 7-7 9 0 0 0 2 11 12 -
A.J. Price 32 8-14 0-2 7-9 6 1 2 0 2 23 16 -
S. Robinson 30 4-10 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 2 2 9 1 -
J. Adrien 27 1-4 0-0 4-8 1 2 0 0 6 6 -1 -
D. Wiggins 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
C. Austrie 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Kelly 9 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Edwards 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Mandeldove 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Beverly 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter