Model Predictions
| Model | Clemson Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -2 (82-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Clemson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hammonds | 35 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Mays | 34 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| K.C. Rivers | 30 | 5-14 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Stitt | 26 | 0-9 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | - |
| T. Oglesby | 19 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 6-9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| T. Booker | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| R. Sykes | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Potter | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Grant | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Powell | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Perry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hansbrough | 37 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Stewart | 36 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Gordon | 33 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 6-10 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 17 | - |
| J. Varnado | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 14 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 25 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| B. Johnson | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| P. Turner | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| R. Benock | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Bailey | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter