Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +5 (53-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.