Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 80.3% | 19.7% | -7.7 | ✗ (21.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carroll | 36 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| S. DuCharme | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| K. Clark | 28 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| G. Wilkinson | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -3 | - |
| D. Spraggins | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| P. Williams | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Niang | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| D. Stephens | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Wesley | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Newbold | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Whiten | 37 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| M. Hanson | 29 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Shelton | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| C. Thomas | 28 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| T. Clark | 26 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| L. Keeler | 16 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| J. Manley | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Anderson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Leavitt | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Vance | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Lewis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter