Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.4% | 5.6% | -15.6 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats -4 (68-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Ellington | 33 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 22 | - |
| D. Green | 29 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Lawson | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1 | - |
| B. Frasor | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Thompson | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Richards | 39 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 4 | - |
| S. Curry | 37 | 8-22 | 2-12 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | - |
| B. Meno | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| W. Archambault | 21 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - |
| M. Paulhus Gosselin | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Lovedale | 21 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Sander | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| S. Rossiter | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B. Barr | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter