Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +28 (76-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Arnold | 29 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Tunnell | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Stinson | 27 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| G. Moore | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| H. Marshall | 24 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Holmstrom | 23 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| A. Carter | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| I. Martin | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Lee | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. McCoy | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Graves | 34 | 8-12 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| M. Green | 31 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| D. Streicher | 30 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| P. Campbell | 29 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Z. Hahn | 20 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Betko | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Howard | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| S. Vanzant | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| E. Engelmann | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Leiendecker | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Anglin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Slaton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Rodgers | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter