Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies +10 (75-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Oliver | 35 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| M. Payne | 34 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 14 | - |
| S. Hanson | 31 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| R. Silva | 23 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Portz | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Carter | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Calegari | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| N. Clark | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Boone | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hawkins | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| F. Peete | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| H. Passos | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| W. McKines | 23 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| J. Gibson | 23 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| P. Carter | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Iti | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Cole | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Luster | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Castillo | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Jones | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Steward | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter