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2007-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 80.8% 19.2% -
Bradley-Terry 48.2% 51.8% -
Margin 40.7% 59.3% +2.1 (6.9 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: UMass Minutemen +9 (89-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Flato 36 4-13 2-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 10 0 -
C. Holmes 33 8-10 4-5 3-3 4 2 1 1 0 23 21 -
M. Kyle 32 8-12 0-0 4-5 6 2 0 1 2 20 15 -
N. Holmes 31 2-9 1-4 0-2 6 3 2 0 3 5 4 -
T. Pinick 27 4-11 0-2 0-0 6 4 3 0 5 8 5 -
R. Mantilla 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Zampier 14 3-4 1-2 2-3 1 1 2 0 0 9 9 -
R. Morin 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
G. Fiddler 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Sands 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
P. Braswell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Gibson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
P. Nelson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Greenberg 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Forbes 32 5-15 1-6 8-9 9 3 0 1 3 19 14 -
E. Brower 32 5-7 2-4 0-0 3 5 0 1 1 12 13 -
R. Harris 32 8-15 3-7 4-4 2 2 5 0 2 23 15 -
D. Milligan 25 8-9 0-0 1-3 7 0 0 3 2 17 16 -
G. Correia 22 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 3 5 -
C. Lowe 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 3 4 3 -
T. Gaffney 17 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 2 0 1 2 6 -
L. Bonner 13 2-6 1-2 1-3 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
M. Groebe 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Glass 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter