Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +28 (94-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brown | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Z. Grasmick | 29 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Johns | 29 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 1 | - |
| D. Bragg | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Latunde | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Johnson | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Blakley | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Hall | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Brown | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Rose | 6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| R. Robinson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Stewart | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Mills | 29 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| O. Samhan | 27 | 11-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 21 | - |
| T. Golden | 25 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| D. Simpson | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Y. Smith | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| I. O'Leary | 21 | 7-8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| C. Hughes | 20 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Smith | 17 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| M. McConnell | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| L. Walker | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Williams | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter