Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.5% | 9.5% | -12.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -7 (83-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hendrix | 30 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 29 | - |
| S. Hillman | 29 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Jemison | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| A. Gee | 27 | 6-15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| J. Tubbs | 25 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Torrance | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| B. Hollinger | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| M. Riley | 16 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Y. Coleman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Henry | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Florence | 32 | 7-22 | 1-10 | 7-11 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | - |
| S. Aaron | 32 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| B. Pfohl | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| B. Corley | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Hall | 13 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B. Mills | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Ellis | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. Walker | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Davis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter