Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.3% | 99.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 3.0% | 97.0% | +19.2 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +7 (76-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 36 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Johnson | 29 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| N. Geiser | 27 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| K. Landry | 25 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| N. Larson | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| C. Jones | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Z. Filzen | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Sharp | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bayless | 34 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 6-12 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| J. McClellan | 33 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 9-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| C. Budinger | 32 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 8-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| J. Horne | 29 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Brielmaier | 27 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Hill | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Dillon | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| N. Wise | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Tangara | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter