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New Mexico State Aggies 61
@
Duke Blue Devils 86
2007-11-12

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico State Aggies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 3.8% 96.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 7.0% 93.0% - ✓
Margin 2.1% 97.9% +21.1 ✓ (3.9 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +25 (86-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Peete 36 4-9 3-7 2-2 0 3 1 0 2 13 6 -
J. Hawkins 32 7-16 0-2 2-2 11 0 0 2 4 16 9 -
J. Gibson 26 3-8 1-5 0-1 1 2 1 0 3 7 0 -
P. Carter 23 2-4 0-2 0-1 1 3 0 0 4 4 0 -
C. Cole 23 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 0 -6 -
H. Passos 20 2-6 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
W. McKines 16 5-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 10 10 -
M. Iti 14 1-3 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
J. Luster 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 4 2 0 -
T. Steward 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nelson 28 5-8 2-3 2-2 7 3 0 0 3 14 13 -
J. Scheyer 27 8-11 4-6 2-3 4 1 2 1 3 22 16 -
G. Paulus 26 4-6 1-2 0-2 4 8 4 0 3 9 16 -
G. Henderson 25 5-12 0-3 1-2 0 2 1 1 3 11 0 -
K. Singler 23 3-7 0-3 4-5 5 1 2 2 0 10 13 -
L. Thomas 20 1-3 0-0 3-3 4 0 0 0 2 5 4 -
T. King 17 2-8 2-6 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
N. Smith 16 1-6 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 2 -4 -
B. Zoubek 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 0 2 7 -
M. Pocius 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 3 -

* = starter