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2007-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Alabama State Hornets SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 3.1% 96.9% -
Bradley-Terry 9.1% 90.9% -
Margin 2.5% 97.5% +20.2 (30.2 off)

Actual: SMU Mustangs -10 (54-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bosh 37 5-9 2-4 4-6 8 0 0 2 0 16 17 -
A. Hayles 35 1-10 0-5 8-10 4 4 1 0 3 10 6 -
B. Gordon 28 4-13 2-6 0-0 6 1 2 0 3 10 3 -
R. Lott Jr. 26 3-7 0-1 1-3 7 1 2 0 2 7 8 -
B. Brooks 24 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 3 1 0 4 0 1 -
W. Mardis 16 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 2 4 0 2 7 10 -
C. Kickingstallionsims 12 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
J. Sanders 12 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
R. Provitt 10 0-3 0-3 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Killen 35 4-6 3-4 0-0 4 5 4 0 1 11 17 -
B. Fall 35 5-9 0-0 5-6 8 2 1 5 4 15 18 -
A. Malone 30 4-14 1-5 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 10 1 -
D. Roberts 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
P. Dia 19 3-7 0-0 2-3 3 0 4 3 6 8 5 -
M. Walker 18 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
B. Rhodes 18 1-9 0-4 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 4 -2 -
C. Spencer 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 2 6 -
R. Harp 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
T. Kwiatkowski 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter