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2007-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Liberty Flames Spread Result
Elo 8.1% 91.9% -
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% -
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 (15.2 off)
Efficiency 22.6% 77.4% -

Actual: Liberty Flames -11 (62-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Sikma 32 4-5 0-0 2-3 10 6 4 2 3 10 24 -
R. Smeulders 29 3-13 0-1 5-7 8 1 0 1 0 11 8 -
S. Watson 28 0-3 0-0 6-8 3 4 0 0 3 6 7 -
J. Stohl 24 4-6 4-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 12 7 -
E. Niedermeyer 22 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
W. Thompson 21 5-9 2-4 3-3 4 0 1 0 1 15 10 -
T. Ito 19 2-4 1-1 3-3 4 0 1 0 1 8 8 -
N. Raivio 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 5 1 -
K. Knutson 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 1 2 4 3 -

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. McLean 36 6-15 0-1 7-11 10 0 0 0 5 19 9 -
A. Smith 33 4-10 1-5 0-1 8 1 1 0 1 9 8 -
B.J. Jenkins 33 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 2 -3 -
T. Bannister 32 5-10 0-2 7-7 0 7 1 0 5 17 10 -
R. Porter 29 2-8 2-5 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 6 2 -
K. Ohman 24 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 0 1 2 1 9 7 -
J. Holland 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 -
R. Monroe 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Layer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Lafser 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter