Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri-St. Louis Rivermen | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +33 (70-37). Predictions use season-end ratings.