Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +3 (63-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kemp | 37 | 8-22 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 4 | - |
| B. Fields | 37 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| A. Johnson | 35 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| D. Johnson | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. McGee | 21 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Ellis | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. LaGrone | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Cooke | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taylor | 33 | 3-15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. O'Donnell | 33 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Noel | 31 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| C. Cartwright | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| M. Battle | 27 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Billings | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| A. Thornton | 5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| J. Yotio | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter