Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +10.5 | ✓ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +29 (68-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.