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2007-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 3.5% 96.5% -
Bradley-Terry 7.8% 92.2% -
Margin 1.9% 98.1% +21.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 65.5% 34.5% -
Efficiency 96.2% 3.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.3% 79.7% -
Log Adjusted 19.7% 80.3% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +15 (72-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Huffman 36 6-14 5-12 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 17 8 -
C. Skrelja 32 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 2 -1 -
M. McAndrew 31 6-14 3-7 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 16 5 -
M. MacDonald 23 6-15 1-5 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 13 6 -
P. Sullivan 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Friske 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Taylor 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
A. Williams 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 2 4 -
M. Mullery 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -
M. Kelly 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
S. Gruber 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Floyd 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Kane 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Leffelman 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Aldridge 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Coleman 35 1-4 1-2 0-0 6 6 0 0 0 3 11 -
M. Harris 31 6-8 3-4 7-9 2 4 0 0 4 22 16 -
D. Sims 25 7-11 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 17 12 -
Z. Gibson 24 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 3 8 7 -
K. Grady 22 2-5 2-4 4-4 2 2 0 0 2 10 7 -
A. Wright 19 3-8 3-6 1-3 8 0 1 0 2 10 9 -
C.J. Lee 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 0 6 -
E. Udoh 16 1-2 0-0 0-3 1 2 1 3 0 2 7 -
K. Morris 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
J. Shepherd 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter