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2007-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Northern Illinois Huskies Spread Result
Elo 60.8% 39.2% -
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% -
Margin 32.8% 67.2% +3.9 (13.9 off)
Efficiency 2.0% 98.0% -

Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies -10 (78-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Thomas 33 3-7 1-3 4-6 4 1 0 0 3 11 6 -
T. Clark 33 6-7 1-2 9-13 4 7 1 0 1 22 26 -
M. Hanson 29 6-11 1-2 2-10 10 1 2 0 2 15 15 -
D. Whiten 25 4-9 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 9 2 -
D. Vance 19 3-5 0-0 8-10 6 0 0 2 2 14 15 -
T. Shelton 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
L. Keeler 15 3-9 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 0 -
J. Manley 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 0 1 -
C. Anderson 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
S. Lewis 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Leavitt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Illinois Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Paradise 35 5-20 4-14 7-7 2 2 1 1 2 21 5 -
J. Nichols 32 6-13 3-9 3-4 2 0 1 0 2 18 6 -
E. Grafel 24 4-7 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 1 10 10 -
D. Anderson 22 4-8 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 0 3 8 9 -
S. Logan 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
M. Hart 18 5-6 0-0 4-7 5 1 0 1 0 14 15 -
C. Yelder 17 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 2 2 0 4 2 3 -
B. Rand 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 0 3 -
N. Ervin 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
S. Smith 8 1-3 0-0 1-1 0 1 1 0 2 3 0 -
J. Landers 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter