Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +4 (57-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Laurie | 35 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -3 | - |
| S. Laurie | 34 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Lamberth | 33 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Richards | 30 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| C. Cooks | 24 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 2 | - |
| J. Fuehrmeyer | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Knapp | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Manswell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kent | 35 | 11-21 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 10 | - |
| R. Johnson | 35 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| J. Young | 31 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Anyijong | 28 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Bingham | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Amos | 20 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| A. Byrd | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Lo | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter